Real-Time Coverage Briefing
January 20 • Washington, DC
2025 US Presidential Inauguration
Background
Analysis
Protesting
Protesting is expected nationwide throughout January. Planned demonstrations for January 20 include:
National Day of Action. Coined a “nationwide mobilization,” is planned in at least 43 locations across the US
Peoples March on Washington could see at least 50,000 attendees. In 2017, this march saw roughly 4.6 million people attending various rallies across the US
Pro Palestine demonstrations. Rallies are planned in Washington, DC, Cleveland, OH, Chicago, IL, Seattle, WA, Houston, TX, Lancaster, PA and Detroit, MI
Make America Great Again victory rally is planned for January 19 at Capital One Arena at 3pm, local time. The arena holds 20,000 people; therefore, large crowds are expected
At least a dozen activist groups have requested permission to protest in the Capitol, although most permits have been denied. Additionally, those accused of participating in the January 6 Riots have also requested permission to attend the inauguration, with the Department of Justice arguing against these requests due to the potential risk to the DC community and local officials.
The risk of clashes between protesters and counter-protesters is probable, with a high threat level assessment. Heightened law enforcement response is expected to reduce the risk of violent clashes in the Capitol dependent on crowd size, however large demonstrations in other US cities could be at greater risk of escalation with fewer police resources.
Security Plans
The 2025 US Presidential Inauguration is designated a National Special Security Event (NSSE). Therefore, the United States Secret Service (USSS) is the lead agency for the design and implementation of its security plan and will work alongside local law enforcement to protect and respond to the event. Secret Service Washington Office’s Special Agent William McCool has stated that the public should expect heightened security measures for the upcoming inauguration. Security measures are expected to be similar to the 2017 inauguration where at least 28,000 officials were devoted to upholding security during the event. Preparations for this year indicate crowds of at least 500,000, in addition to the invitation of several world leaders, including Chinese President Xi Jinping, Argentine President Javier Milei, and Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele. The White House has confirmed outgoing President Joe Biden and First Lady Jill Biden will attend the ceremony.
On January 20, security screening gates will open at 6am, local time, followed by performances at 9:30am and opening remarks at 11:30am, leading to the swear-in ceremony at noon, per Washington DC official website. Ticketed guests are required to go through "airport style" security at the gates and must adhere to strict rules regarding prohibited items.
After being sworn in, Trump will go on a ceremonial parade on the East Front Steps of the Capitol down Pennsylvania Avenue from the US Capitol to the White House at 3pm, local time. The major thoroughfares through downtown DC will almost certainly be closed for the inauguration, along with several bridges to the city and many metro system stations. The National Park Service (NPS) has set a partial closure of Lafayette Park and along the White House sidewalks for public safety through February 2025.
Terrorism
Cybersecurity Threats
Cyber attacks involving the inauguration could include cyber espionage, ransomware, malware, phishing, and distributed denial of service (DDoS) attacks.
Threat actors may introduce malware to exploit the high volume of air traffic due to the inauguration to disrupt operations at Washington DC area airports. The Counter Threat Center reports that air traffic systems at the Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport and Washington Dulles International Airport will be vulnerable to such attacks due to their proximity to government infrastructure. Insiders may be exploited to gain unauthorized access to critical networks and systems to compromise physical security during the inauguration.
Adam Isles, former Deputy Chief of Staff at the Department of Homeland Security, suggested cyber threats posed by domestic groups should be the primary concern at the inauguration in light of the US Capitol Riot on January 6, 2021. During Former President Trump’s first inauguration in 2017, a hacktivist attempted to orchestrate a DDoS attack by encouraging people to help “take down” WhiteHouse.gov. Attempts to disrupt broadcasts relating to Trump have also been prevalent in foreign hacktivist groups. For example, in August 2024, RipperSec, a Malaysian pro-Palestine hacktivist group, conducted a DDoS attack targeting X to disrupt a broadcast of an interview between Elon Musk and Trump. While such groups can disrupt broadcasts during the inauguration, the overall impact on operations will remain minimal.
While it is likely that such actors may conduct similar attacks during this inauguration, their impact is minimal due to the government's enhanced cyber resilience resources. As a result, the threat level of a cyberattack from domestic threat actors is low.
Foreign actors have previously conducted attacks against critical infrastructure in the days leading up to the inauguration. Notably, in December 2016, two Romanian citizens were arrested for illegally accessing 123 computers linked to the Metropolitan Police Department’s surveillance cameras to distribute ransomware during the January 2017 inauguration.
Despite the sophisticated nature of the attack, its impact was minimal as authorities secured the cameras before the inauguration.
Nation-state actors may launch cyberattacks elsewhere in the US while attention is focused on the inauguration. In March 2020, SolarWinds software supply chain was attacked by Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR). Similarly, since May 2024, members of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) have successfully conducted spear-phishing campaigns and compromised accounts of officials and advisors for the 2024 presidential campaigns. While similar attacks have been conducted around the election period, they have not targeted presidential inaugurations in the past.
Nation-state actors possess the capabilities and intent to disrupt operations during the inauguration; however, attacks have not previously been conducted on this day. Therefore, the threat level of an attack from foreign threat actors is medium.
Opportunistic cybercrime groups often use high-profile topics, events, and individuals as content for spam messaging and phishing campaigns. They will likely exploit the inauguration to conduct phishing campaigns for financial gain. While the impact of such attacks can be mitigated by avoiding malicious links, if the victim's device becomes affected, they may incur financial loss or identity theft. The intent of such groups conducting an attack is high, and the threat level of an attack from opportunistic cybercrime groups is also high.
Therefore, the overall threat level for cybersecurity attacks impacting the inauguration is medium.
Topics
Top Headlines
Emergency and Safety
Geopolitics
Infrastructure
Election Safety
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Locations
Washington, DC
Keywords (Optional)
Active Shooter
Shooter
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Public Disruption
Public Safety Incident
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DDoS
Malware
Network Outage
Security gates open
6am EST
Performances and music
Opening remarks
Swearing in ceremony
Inaugural parade
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